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Why Digital Advertising Agencies Suck at Acquisition and are in Dire Need of an AI Assisted Upgrade

Are you happy with digital marketing agency? 

I mean sure, they are great for creating “awareness” but how often do they result in conversions or even a solid lead? Unless you are marketing FMCG goods like cherry flavoured cola, traditional digital marketing agencies can be sinkhole for cash without any significant ROI. This is especially true if you are selling high-involvement product like loans and insurance.|

I work in the Malaysian fintech industry, for an enterprise solutions provider that builds loan origination and debt collection software for most major banks in Malaysia. We build really great products, and our customers can vouch for us. However, the problem many financial institutions face is not getting enough leads or conversions from their digital marketing activities.

That’s how the digital marketing agency scene is right now. Their targeting is simply too broad. 

As someone who has spent half a decade in advertising, I am well aware of the sloppy targeting mechanisms used by these fancy pants agencies who claim to be “famously effective”. A typical targeting procedure orchestrated by a typical digital agency (although they all uniformly claim to be “unique”, “innovative” and “data-driven”) looks like this:

Targeting people in Kuala Lumpur who “might” be looking for loans:

Age: 25-55 (Cause they found out after conducting a focus group that people in this ridiculously broad age range are most likely to apply for loan)

Interests: Personal loans, mortgage, and a whole bunch of relevant keywords based on search volume (higher the search volume, the better)

Geo-targeting: People residing in Kuala Lumpur

And tweak other settings like campaign objectives (brand awareness, lead generation, conversion) and target people who are looking into property purchase sites. Some wily agencies will even run two concurrent campaigns simultaneously: an edgy campaign that appeals to 25-35 year olds, and a conservative campaign aimed at 36-55 year olds.

Sounds like a good strategy on paper. Except it fails miserably in real life. Because these targeting criteria fail to separate people who are casually browsing houses or window shopping for their dream house — that they may or may not be able to afford ten years from now — from bona fide high potential shoppers who already have their hearts set on a specific piece of property and want their loans yesterday.

What most self-proclaimed “cutting edge” and “data driven” digital marketing agencies fail to identify is where the customer actually is in their purchasing cycle. Not to mention they have no quantifiable measurement for an individual customer’s potential for conversion. This is where data-mining and big data comes in handy. This is where digital advertising agencies fail.

A study done in 2014 by Massachusetts Institute of Technology shows that ads using machine learning and big-data driven marketing result in 13 times more conversions than traditional marketing best practices in multi-national organizations.

Imagine if you are the world’s largest designer luxury lingerie store and each of your items cost between $2500 – $25,000. Let’s say you have about 60,000 people coming into your site every day. Out of those 60,000, less than 1% have actual purchase intentions and the rest 99% are just casually browsing or window shopping and maybe adding items to their wish list for the distant future. A typical digital marketing agency ends up targeting all 60,000 people who visit your website, and more if they are trying to acquire new potential customers who have never visited your online lingerie store. Because with the little data they have from their “focus groups” and from their “test campaigns”, the best they can hope to do is create a campaign which gets people to click on the “learn more” or “shop now” button. However, the problem is not getting people to click on the “shop now” button. The problem is getting people who are MOST LIKELY TO BUY to click on the “shop now” button.

Now in countries like US you can target people by their income groups and make sure that people who cannot afford your luxury lingerie never get to see your advert. But again, we fall back into the same trap of overtly broad targeting. Just because they are rich, doesn’t mean they are looking to buy pricey lingerie. In fact, one of your biggest segments could be sugar babies and mistresses who’ll nag their men into purchasing your over-priced gem-studded lingerie. This is precisely why you need data-mining and artificial intelligence. An AI can mine data about every single customer who has ever bought a piece of lingerie from your store and look for patterns that identify consumers who are most likely to make an actual purchase as opposed to consumers who are just window shopping. The AI can generate a very lucid “potential for conversion” score, like letting you know whether a customer has a 9% or 90% chance of buying.

Once you have this score you can do all sorts of things with it. Once you know (with a 90% certainty) that someone is going to spend at least $2500 on a piece of lingerie, it makes total sense to send them a highly personalized $80 goodie bag with a catalogue of your new summer collection.

I’m not saying that advertising agencies are worthless. They are still good at coming up with compelling visuals and catchy payoff lines. But when it comes to targeting, the paradigm is shifting from old-school advertising companies to new age tech like deep learning, AI, large scale data mining and prescriptive analytics.

 

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Comments: (10)

Ketharaman Swaminathan
Ketharaman Swaminathan - GTM360 Marketing Solutions - Pune 16 April, 2018, 19:11Be the first to give this comment the thumbs up 0 likes

As the owner of a digital marketing agency, I think your post is overly harsh, but I'll take it as genuine feedback if you've taken the following realities into account:

  1. Some of the costliest keywords in Google AdWords are for finserv products like loan, mortgage, credit card, insurance, etc. If this has been the case for only a year or two, I wouldn't make much of it. But it's been like this for several years. I strongly doubt if finserv industry would be bidding up the cost of digital ads if they didn't work for their products.
  2. Large advertisers like P&G have found that, beyond a certain extent, targeting is not cost-effective. Even without bringing up the quasi-ethical issues of over-targeting, key is to strike the right balance between mass targeting & precise targeting. "Buying ads for a narrow set of precisely targeted customers is more expensive, and P&G found it was getting the same results from mass ad buys." (Source: https://digiday.com/marketing/facebooks-shutdown-third-party-data-affects-brands/)
  3. AI of the nature you've described is already available for digital advertising. Finextra rules forbid providing product recommendations but I'll be happy to tell you more if you contact me separately.
A Finextra member
A Finextra member 17 April, 2018, 03:51Be the first to give this comment the thumbs up 0 likes

Hey Ketharaman Swaminathan,

P&G sells FMCG so for them it would be more expensive to employ data mining and AI assisted targeting. I am not surprised. I already pointed out in the article that it makes sense for FMCG to follow traditional best practices compared to businesses that sell high-involvement products or services.

Secondly, higher bid doesn't necessarily mean higher conversion. It simply means you have more players in the market with deep pockets who are willing to outbid you to have their name on top. I am not saying there is ZERO conversion without the use of data-driven targeting, I am saying the conversion could be up to 13 times higher with data-mining and machine learning. 

I hope this clears up any confusion!




Ketharaman Swaminathan
Ketharaman Swaminathan - GTM360 Marketing Solutions - Pune 17 April, 2018, 08:26Be the first to give this comment the thumbs up 0 likes

Higher bid does mean said ad channel is delivering on *some* metric that the advertiser finds important e.g. CPA, ROAS, or whatever - they're not daft to keep spending more and more money just because somebody keeps bidding up the keywords.

What's stopping you from using AI to get 13X higher conversion?

A Finextra member
A Finextra member 17 April, 2018, 11:23Be the first to give this comment the thumbs up 0 likes

Hey Ketharaman Swaminathan,

I believe you just agreed with me. There IS some form of conversion, otherwise no one would spend money on AdWords at all. 

For example, we sell loan origination and digital transformation solutions that can cost up to millions of USD. So for a enterprise solutions provider like us, technically it is still profitable to spend USD 6000-12,000 a year on AdWords, using traditional targetting systems. Because even if we get ONE conversion in the entire year, we can get enough ROI to cover an entire year's worth of AdWords spending money. 

However, if we use machine-learning and data-driven targetting to identify customers who have a high propesity to buy, we could increase the number of conversions by several times. Also, deliver a highly personalized marketing experience tailored for that particular individual customer. 

There's nothing stopping us from using AI to get 13X higher conversion. We have an entire team solely dedicated towards developing this technology. We have a solid proof of concept that works using authentic data.

However for smaller companies the obvious barrier would be limited budget or lack of financing. For FMCG the barrier would be not enough ROI cause the traditional method is working just fine for FMCGS (like you so wisely pointed out, and so did I in the first paragraph of my article). 

However, Banks don't have any issues with financing and the nature of their business is very different from FMCG companies like P&G. Therefore, the time has come for banks and financial institutions to move beyond traditional digital advertising agencies and obtain an AI assisted upgrade. 

Hope that clears up your confusion! :) 

Ketharaman Swaminathan
Ketharaman Swaminathan - GTM360 Marketing Solutions - Pune 17 April, 2018, 12:13Be the first to give this comment the thumbs up 0 likes

Your original post mentioned AI technology in general. Your comment says your company makes such technology, something that I didn't notice in the original post. Correct me if I'm wrong but I see a subtle shill for your company's product to banks. Nothing wrong with that per se but just saying in the interest of clearing my confusion:) 

Now, assuming AI can find people with high propensity to buy, there's no guarantee that they'll buy online. In fact, there's overwhelming evidence to the contrary viz. customers prefer branches when it comes to buying financial products. Wonder how that affects the ROI of AI investment even if it delivers 13X lift in conversion.

If budget / funding is a barrier against the use of AI by smaller companies, whose problem is that? In what way are digital advertising agencies - the brunt of your post's attack - responsible for that?

A Finextra member
A Finextra member 17 April, 2018, 12:21Be the first to give this comment the thumbs up 0 likes

"In fact, there's overwhelming evidence to the contrary viz. customers prefer branches when it comes to buying financial products."

^ I don't know where you got that information my friend, bank branches all over the world are closing down branches. Here are a few references:

1. Wall Street Journal: https://www.wsj.com/articles/banks-double-down-on-branch-cutbacks-1517826601

2. Forbes: https://www.forbes.com/sites/alanmcintyre/2018/01/03/bye-bye-bank-branches-hello-cloud-10-retail-and-commercial-banking-trends-to-watch-in-2018/#63a2d89d168d

Clearly you know little about the banking industry, and even less about digital marketing. I shall end our conversation here. Have a pleasant day. :)


Ketharaman Swaminathan
Ketharaman Swaminathan - GTM360 Marketing Solutions - Pune 17 April, 2018, 14:28Be the first to give this comment the thumbs up 0 likes And you clearly don't know the difference between closing down branch network for transactions and growing branch network for sales.
  1. According to an SMF study, over 60% of people would go into a branch when making a big decision. 
  2. As Jeffry Pilcher, CEO/President & Publisher of The Financial Brand, points out in Branches Refuse to Die, “While the majority of consumers prefer online or mobile banking, … a surprisingly high number of consumers still visit the branch. It might be tempting to dismiss the findings and assume these branch visits were triggered by consumers who were frustrated that they weren’t able to accomplish some financial task in digital channels. But that would be a mistake.”
  3. According to McKinsey, while customers want digital, it’s not to the “exclusion of other channels, which remain critically important.”
  4. JP Morgan Chase opens 400 new branches (Source: https://www.finextra.com/newsarticle/31568/jpmorgan-chase-to-open-400-new-branches)
  5. Why Branch And Digital Channels Will Coexist Forever

Good luck shilling your product, though. 

A Finextra member
A Finextra member 17 April, 2018, 23:24Be the first to give this comment the thumbs up 0 likes

Dear Ketharaman Swaminathan,

I am starting to wonder if you have actually read most of the studies you have quoted. You are cherry picking information out of context to support your argument. Most of the information you presented state that consumers are channel omnivores, meaning that while they do most of their banking online, they still need branches. Online still dominates, but branches are still required. Therefore branches refuse to die.

Either way, this debate was never about branches vs. online channels, it was about HOW DIGITAL ADVERTISING AGENCIES SUCK AT ACQUISITON AND ARE A DIRE NEED OF AN AI ASSISTED UPGRADE. You have failed to prove that digital advertising agencies do not produce absolutely pitiful acquisition results. 

As for shilling, we have been a finalist in March this year, for the 2018 IBM Beacon Award in the Open Innovation category. You may read about us on Wikipedia, we're already serving every single bank in Malaysia, I really don't need to be shilling. I am merely here to state facts and help financial institutions from sinking advertising dollars into digital agencies that don't have the capacity for big-data driven marketing, AI powered behavioral targetting or machine learning. 

Good luck surviving the 4th industrial revolution. :)

A Finextra member
A Finextra member 18 April, 2018, 00:09Be the first to give this comment the thumbs up 0 likes

Correction: ALMOST every single bank in Malaysia.

A Finextra member
A Finextra member 18 April, 2018, 00:27Be the first to give this comment the thumbs up 0 likes

Addendum: Also, the offline conversion tracking options in Google Adwords and Facebook lets you track a conversion that started online and ended in a physical location by cross referencing with CRM data. Something you seem to be blissfully unaware of. 


AdWords Conversion Import allows you to import conversions that you track in any other system into AdWords. It's the broadest option and applies to many different ways of tracking offline conversions. And it allows you to import conversions that started with an ad click or with a call from your ad. Read more: https://support.google.com/adwords/answer/2998031?hl=en 

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