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Institutional investors recognise need for better risk modelling - survey

08 July 2009  |  1114 views  |  0 Source: Northern Trust

A Northern Trust survey of institutional investors and investment managers finds an increasing demand for information and analytics to support risk management, and a need to improve their organizations' ability to successfully implement risk models in the investment process.

Nine in 10 respondents to the survey, taken earlier this year, rate risk as an "important" or "primary" consideration in their decision making. However, roughly the same percentage feel they need additional skills and experience to effectively model, interpret and utilize the results from sophisticated risk models.

The survey also highlights the changing sources of portfolio risk. While market volatility remains the greatest source of risk, liquidity risk emerged as a leading concern following last year's credit market crisis: 17 percent of respondents felt liquidity was the greatest source of risk for investment programs in 2009, compared to just 2 percent who thought that was the case in early 2008. Nearly 45 percent of the participants said valuation and risk models could have performed better in predicting the impact of liquidity risk over the last 12 months.

Northern Trust's survey cites the views of top investment and operations executives from 50 global organizations. More than half of the survey respondents are from institutions or managers with over $1 billion in assets under management, and 20 percent have more than $5 billion under management. Major findings from the survey include:

  • 93 percent of organizations generally believe risk models provide useful information but more than half (55 percent) do not have a risk measurement system today.
  • 87 percent of organizations feel their organizations need additional skills and experience to effectively model, interpret and utilize the results from sophisticated risk models.
  • When it comes to purchasing a risk measurement system, nearly four in 10 said the level of experience on staff to manage the system would be an inhibitor.
  • More than half (51 percent) feel their organizations need to improve their efforts regarding due diligence on the valuation process for their portfolios.

"Institutional investors and investment managers are telling us they want valuation model transparency and they appreciate practical experience in using risk models," said Paul d'Ouville, head of Northern Trust's C & IS Global Product Management Group. "There is a new reality in the security pricing arena, where complexity has increased and transparency is expected. With their resource challenges, organizations are increasingly seeking expertise from outside firms that can demonstrate practical solutions and help them benefit from the information provided by quantitative risk models."

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