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Short selling the argument

I have been debating the importance of short selling to markets and investors over the past few days and next year will be creating a debate for the Post Trade Forum on short selling. However, what has amazed me is the almost complete lack of understanding there is around about the importance of short selling. It has certainly become emotive. 

The financial crisis has caused short selling to get a very bad press, but is this justified? When markets go so badly wrong it is understandable that people want to apportion blame. Short selling is a difficult concept for many people, even experienced brokers and profesional investing firms can be confused by the importance and value of short selling.

New financial products developed to facilitate previously non-allowed firms and people to take short positions have enabled short selling to be missused and corrupted the reality of how important this facility is to any market. 

Politicians now see the banning of short selling as an important political tool to manipulate markets. This is as bad as firms or wealthy investors trying to manipulate the markets through OTC and other shortening products. 

There are regulations that can be used to flush out and prosecute market manipulators without the recourse to banning. 

My contention is that short selling supplies market liquidity which is an invaluable asset to investors needing to buy or sell. An order run market without short selling would increase the price of buying and decrease the price for a sale. Investors and consumers would lose massively. 

Now there are firms and people that try and manipulate markets for their own gain but these should be prosecuted under existing rules. So no short selling ban is necessary. I would like to see short sellers be regulated centrally by the central banks and I would like to see collateral and margining to be of higher quality and greater in cost. This alone would bring more order and control. 

I am dead against politicians interfering with markets and totally against short selling bans. Let’s be more inventive in how the markets manage short selling and go after with gusto those that manipulate markets. Look out for next years Post Trade Forum on short selling    

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Comments: (6)

A Finextra member
A Finextra member 26 August, 2011, 16:07Be the first to give this comment the thumbs up 0 likes

The reason why the concept is difficult to grasp is because it is often assumed traders are selling something they do not have (in the hope of buying it later at a cheaper price point).  In the 'real' world, you cannot sell someting you don't own.

Apparently traders can cover the sell with a buy option... but where do they get these buy options, and why would a stock holder (pension fund, whatever) commit to a sale without an agreed price, knowing there is the potential for the buyer to contribute to a run on the stock price. 

I suspect the answer is that they sell blind in the hope they drive the sale price down and then are able to buy the stock at the cheaper price.  If too many people participate in this selling, then there can be a shortage of available stock to purchase when the books need to be balanced and that caused a big bounce up again.

Isn't it the blind shorting that is being curbed?

They always say that that traders dont care a damn which way the markets are moving (its not their money) just so long as they know the direction so they can make their commissions on every trade.

Gary Wright
Gary Wright 26 August, 2011, 16:28Be the first to give this comment the thumbs up 0 likes

Well thats only part of the story. For years i worked in Jobbing and market making firms and managing short selling was a normal daily operation.

First lets get this clear! No bank or market making firm sells short on idol speculation. Selling short is normally part of a strategy and entails covering the short with an option or other derivertive. Naked shorts are managed very closely by firms as the potential loss is ,well as wee used to say "The sky is the limit". For this reason heads of dealingdesks/rooms and the board monitor short selling very very closely.

There is no such thing as dealers driving the price down by shorting the market. This is market abuse and there are severe penalties for this practice.

To cover settlment of the bear sale the firm will borrow the stock from a investing Institution and pay for the privalage a percentage but also provide acceptable collateral that is margined. There is a mark to market each day and sometimes during the day if there is severe volatility. So no settlment risk

There is a risk taken by the firm that is going Bear and that is why they buy put options or the like to reduce their risks

Now there are now a number of OTC products that allow people or firms to effectivly short the market and it this area that i believe needs closer regulation and management

The Post Trade Forum will be debating this throughout next year and on the Post Trade Forum group on LinkedIn

A Finextra member
A Finextra member 27 August, 2011, 12:00Be the first to give this comment the thumbs up 0 likes

That's good education.

Makes it sound like there are no gekko-esque dealings in the short selling world?  But the markets are fickle and don't really seem to reflect real demand at all, just following the 'pack'.  Its definitely not a place for the casual amateur trader and we have to face facts that you need to be on the inside to play.

Companies can 'create value' but at the end of the day it is the markets that arbitrarily decide whether that value is realised in the stock price.

A Finextra member
A Finextra member 29 August, 2011, 10:30Be the first to give this comment the thumbs up 0 likes

Nice summary Gary - many people have been asking about 'evil' short selling, yet few seem to understand its importance and that it is an ingrained and invaluable tool in the market.

The fact that it provides liquidity and feeds the entire business of securities lending, repo's and collateral management seems to pass by many of those in the industry.

Agreed on the fact that regulation needs to catch up with some of the shadier OTC practices - these do the greatest damage by introducing unnecessary volatility and shaking confidence.

The 'evil' part of the discussion should be around the political posturing going on, and that knee-jerk reaction and regulation will probably do more damage to the market and send confidence down further.

Gary Wright
Gary Wright 29 August, 2011, 11:25Be the first to give this comment the thumbs up 0 likes

Thanks for the comment and i agree with you. I am having a ongoing argument on the CISI Group on LinkedIn and its amazing how people have been emotional on this subject. However they are not proffesional people with much understanding of markets or short selling just missguided by politcians and the rather panic mood its created 

A Finextra member
A Finextra member 09 September, 2011, 13:05Be the first to give this comment the thumbs up 0 likes

Still haven't heard a convincing argument for allowing short selling (except for market makers).

Imagine you're got to explain this a teenager - come up with a scenario or story where this makes sense.  You say it increases liquidity, how is that and what would be the consequences of not having short selling?

Gary Wright

Gary Wright

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BISS Research

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